England travel to Riga knowing a win will officially seal their place at next summer’s World Cup in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. Thomas Tuchel’s side sit top of Group K with a perfect record of five wins from five, scoring 13 goals and conceding none. They have dominated every underlying metric along the way, leading the group for both expected points (xPTS) and expected goals.
Their last outing, a 5-0 demolition of Serbia in Belgrade, was their most complete performance so far and underlined their growing rhythm in attack. Tuchel’s arrival has brought sharper patterns in possession, and the balance of the side looks stronger with Declan Rice and Elliot Andersen anchoring midfield.
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